Nate Silver on the Latino Vote

Nate Silver, who authors the indispensible fivethirtyeight blog at the New York Times, writes that polls missed an average 2.3 percent advantage for Democrats in states with large Latino populations. Silver does not examine the impact of down-ballot races that featured Latino candidates. But, he does note that pollsters are going to have to look at this in the future: Latinos who prefer to speak Spanish are also especially likely to vote Democratic, and pollsters that do not conduct bi-lingual polls may miss a key, and growing, part of the electorate.

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