One of Politico's better features is its "5 Things to Look For" posting the day of a primary, which sets some of the expectations' game. I am not sure I agree entirely that a 12 point victory for Romney would constitute a blowout. Gingrich has been outspent six-to-one in the Sunshine State and, besides, Gingrich's back-of-the-pack finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire did not harm him in South Carolina. But, overall, I think Politico has it right, especially about tracking the women's vote. Gingrich's numbers among women have been consistently lower than his numbers among men. These are GOP primaries, so many of those women are evangelical women, and they do not look kindly on Newt's marital history.
January 31, 2012